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product-strategist skill

/skills/product-strategist

This skill helps you define product vision, assess market fit, and determine strategic bets to guide growth and monetization.

npx playbooks add skill ncklrs/startup-os-skills --skill product-strategist

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SKILL.md
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---
name: product-strategist
description: Expert product strategist for vision, strategy, and market positioning. Use when defining product vision, assessing product-market fit, sizing market opportunities (TAM/SAM/SOM), competitive positioning, or choosing between build/buy/partner. Covers business model design, monetization strategy, platform decisions, and strategic roadmap planning.
---

# Product Strategist

Strategic product leadership for companies navigating vision, market fit, and competitive positioning — from early ideation to scale.

## Philosophy

Great product strategy isn't about having all the answers. It's about **asking the right questions** and making **reversible decisions** quickly while being thoughtful about **irreversible ones**.

The best product strategies:
1. **Start with the customer problem** — Not with your solution
2. **Create optionality** — Platform thinking enables multiple futures
3. **Make trade-offs explicit** — Strategy is choosing what NOT to do
4. **Compound over time** — Each decision builds on the last

## How This Skill Works

When invoked, apply the guidelines in `rules/` organized by:

- `vision-*` — Product vision, mission, and north star metrics
- `market-*` — Product-market fit, market sizing, opportunity assessment
- `competitive-*` — Competitive positioning, moats, differentiation
- `strategy-*` — Strategic frameworks, decision making, prioritization
- `business-*` — Business models, monetization, pricing strategy
- `build-*` — Build vs buy vs partner, platform decisions

## Core Frameworks

### Product Strategy Stack

```
                ┌─────────────────────────┐
                │       VISION            │  ← Where are we going? (3-10 years)
                │   "The why behind why"  │
                ├─────────────────────────┤
                │      STRATEGY           │  ← How will we win? (1-3 years)
                │   "The path to vision"  │
                ├─────────────────────────┤
                │      ROADMAP            │  ← What are we building? (Quarters)
                │   "Strategy in motion"  │
                ├─────────────────────────┤
                │      EXECUTION          │  ← How are we building? (Sprints)
                │   "Roadmap in action"   │
                └─────────────────────────┘
```

### Strategic Decision Types

| Decision Type | Reversibility | Time to Decide | Example |
|---------------|---------------|----------------|---------|
| **Type 1** | Irreversible | Take your time | Business model, platform choice |
| **Type 2** | Reversible | Decide quickly | Feature prioritization, pricing tiers |

### Product-Market Fit Spectrum

```
Level 0: Problem Fit     → You've found a real problem worth solving
Level 1: Solution Fit    → Your solution addresses the problem
Level 2: Product-Market Fit → Customers pull the product from you
Level 3: Scale Fit       → Repeatable growth engine working
Level 4: Moat Fit        → Defensible competitive advantage established
```

### Market Opportunity Framework

```
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                        TAM                                  │
│                Total Addressable Market                     │
│       "Everyone who could theoretically buy"                │
│    ┌───────────────────────────────────────────┐           │
│    │                  SAM                      │           │
│    │        Serviceable Addressable Market     │           │
│    │     "Those you could reach and serve"     │           │
│    │    ┌─────────────────────────────┐       │           │
│    │    │           SOM               │       │           │
│    │    │   Serviceable Obtainable    │       │           │
│    │    │   "Realistic near-term"     │       │           │
│    │    └─────────────────────────────┘       │           │
│    └───────────────────────────────────────────┘           │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
```

### Competitive Moat Types

| Moat Type | Description | Examples |
|-----------|-------------|----------|
| **Network Effects** | Product improves as more users join | Slack, LinkedIn |
| **Switching Costs** | Painful to leave | Salesforce, Workday |
| **Data Advantages** | Proprietary data improves product | Google, Waze |
| **Scale Economies** | Cost advantages at scale | AWS, Stripe |
| **Brand** | Trust and recognition | Apple, Notion |
| **Regulatory** | Compliance barriers | Healthcare, Finance |

### Business Model Canvas (Simplified)

```
┌──────────────────┬──────────────────┬──────────────────┐
│   VALUE PROP     │    CHANNELS      │   CUSTOMER       │
│   What unique    │    How you       │   SEGMENTS       │
│   value?         │    reach them    │   Who pays?      │
├──────────────────┼──────────────────┼──────────────────┤
│   KEY RESOURCES  │    KEY           │   REVENUE        │
│   What you need  │    ACTIVITIES    │   STREAMS        │
│   to deliver     │    What you do   │   How you make   │
│                  │                  │   money          │
├──────────────────┴──────────────────┴──────────────────┤
│                    COST STRUCTURE                      │
│             What it costs to operate                   │
└────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
```

## Platform Overview

| Strategic Question | Framework to Use | When to Apply |
|--------------------|------------------|---------------|
| **Where to play?** | Market sizing, opportunity assessment | Early stage, pivots |
| **How to win?** | Competitive positioning, moat analysis | All stages |
| **What to build?** | Build/buy/partner, platform decisions | Growth stage |
| **How to price?** | Value-based pricing, monetization | Pre-launch, repricing |
| **When to expand?** | Adjacent market analysis | Scale stage |

## Anti-Patterns

- **Vision without strategy** — Inspiring destination, no map to get there
- **Strategy without trade-offs** — If everything is a priority, nothing is
- **Copying competitors** — Being a fast follower without differentiation
- **TAM theater** — Using unrealistic market sizes to impress investors
- **Feature parity obsession** — Chasing competitors instead of customers
- **Premature scaling** — Scaling before product-market fit
- **Analysis paralysis** — Researching forever, deciding never
- **Sunk cost fallacy** — Continuing failed bets because of past investment

Overview

This skill is an expert product strategist for defining vision, assessing product-market fit, sizing opportunities, and shaping go-to-market and monetization. It guides decisions across vision, strategy, roadmap, business model, and build vs buy trade-offs to create repeatable, defensible product growth. Use it to turn ambiguous market signals into clear, reversible decisions and prioritized plans.

How this skill works

When invoked, the skill applies framework-driven inspections across vision, market, competitive, strategy, business model, and build choices. It evaluates current state, identifies the highest-impact questions, sizes TAM/SAM/SOM where relevant, and recommends concrete next steps and metrics. Outputs include prioritized options, trade-off rationale, and a short roadmap with north-star and leading metrics.

When to use it

  • Defining or sharpening product vision and north-star metrics
  • Assessing product-market fit and planning experiments to validate it
  • Sizing market opportunity (TAM/SAM/SOM) for strategy or fundraising
  • Choosing between build, buy, or partner and platform decisions
  • Designing monetization, pricing, and revenue model options
  • Positioning vs competitors and identifying potential moats

Best practices

  • Start from the customer problem and validate before committing to irreversible decisions
  • Make trade-offs explicit: document what you will not do and why
  • Use TAM/SAM/SOM with transparent assumptions and conservative conversion paths
  • Separate reversible (Type 2) from irreversible (Type 1) decisions and timebox the former
  • Prioritize experiments that de-risk the biggest uncertainties first

Example use cases

  • Early-stage founder wants a concise vision, target segment, and a 12-month roadmap to reach product-market fit
  • Product leader needs a build vs partner analysis for a critical platform integration
  • Growth team asks for realistic TAM/SAM/SOM with go-to-market channel assumptions for investor materials
  • PMM needs a pricing strategy and monetization options for a new feature set
  • Executive team requires competitive moat analysis and strategic options for international expansion

FAQ

How accurate are TAM/SAM/SOM estimates?

Estimates are as good as the assumptions; use conservative conversion and penetration rates, document sources, and present ranges (low/likely/high).

When should I choose build vs buy vs partner?

Prefer build when core differentiation depends on the capability, buy when speed and ownership of capability matter, and partner when time-to-market and cost efficiency outweigh control; map decision to reversibility and strategic impact.