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excel-lbo-modeler skill

/business-analyst/excel-lbo-modeler

This skill helps you build Excel LBO models with debt schedules and IRR analysis to evaluate PE returns and exit scenarios.

npx playbooks add skill jst-well-dan/skill-box --skill excel-lbo-modeler

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Files (5)
SKILL.md
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---
name: excel-lbo-modeler
description: |
  Build leveraged buyout (LBO) models in Excel with debt schedules and IRR analysis.
  Use when structuring LBO transactions or analyzing PE returns.
  Trigger with phrases like 'excel lbo', 'build lbo model', 'calculate pe returns'.
allowed-tools: Read, Write, Edit, Grep, Glob, Bash(cmd:*)
version: 1.0.0
author: Jeremy Longshore <[email protected]>
license: MIT
---

# Excel LBO Modeler

## Overview

Creates leveraged buyout models with debt structuring, amortization schedules, and sponsor returns analysis for private equity transactions.

## Prerequisites

- Excel or compatible spreadsheet software
- Target company financial data
- Debt term sheet parameters
- Entry/exit multiple assumptions

## Instructions

1. Set up transaction structure (purchase price, debt/equity split)
2. Build debt schedules for each tranche (senior, mezzanine, etc.)
3. Create operating projections with debt service
4. Calculate cash flow available for debt paydown
5. Model exit scenarios and calculate IRR/MOIC

## Output

- Complete LBO model with sources & uses, debt schedules, and returns
- IRR and MOIC at various exit multiples and years
- Sensitivity tables for entry/exit multiple and leverage

## Error Handling

| Error | Cause | Solution |
|-------|-------|----------|
| Negative cash flow | Debt service exceeds EBITDA | Reduce leverage or restructure debt terms |
| IRR #NUM! | No valid solution | Check exit value exceeds equity contribution |
| Circular reference | Cash sweep tied to interest | Enable iterative calculation |

## Examples

**Example: Mid-Market LBO**
Request: "Build an LBO model for a $100M EBITDA company at 8x entry"
Result: 60% senior / 40% equity structure, 5-year model, IRR analysis at 7x-10x exits

**Example: Add-On Acquisition**
Request: "Model a bolt-on acquisition with synergies"
Result: Integrated model with synergy phase-in and accretion analysis

## Resources

- [Macabacus LBO Modeling](https://macabacus.com/)
- [WSO PE Interview Prep](https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/)
- `{baseDir}/references/lbo-formulas.md` for debt schedule templates

Overview

This skill builds full leveraged buyout (LBO) models in Excel, including sources & uses, tranche-level debt schedules, and sponsor return calculations. It helps structure transactions, project operating cash flows with debt service, and produce IRR and MOIC outputs across exit scenarios. The skill is designed for private equity analysts and deal teams who need repeatable, auditable LBO workbooks.

How this skill works

Provide target company financials, debt term sheet parameters, and entry/exit assumptions; the tool constructs a transaction setup and allocates debt and equity. It creates amortization and interest schedules for each tranche, integrates operating projections to compute cash available for debt paydown, and models exit proceeds to calculate IRR and multiple of invested capital. Sensitivity tables and scenario runs show returns by exit multiple, holding period, and leverage.

When to use it

  • Structuring an LBO and sizing debt vs equity for a potential buyout
  • Running sponsor return analysis (IRR, MOIC) across exit multiples and holding periods
  • Testing debt amortization options, revolver usage, and cash sweep mechanics
  • Modeling add-on acquisitions and synergy phase-in with blended financing
  • Preparing case materials for investment committee memos and negotiations

Best practices

  • Start with a clear sources & uses table and reconcile total funding to purchase price
  • Model each debt tranche separately (rate, amortization, covenants, fees)
  • Build operating projections first so debt service flows off realistic cash generation
  • Include a cash waterfall (interest, mandatory amortization, optional cash sweep) and handle circular references by enabling iterative calc where needed
  • Run sensitivity tables for entry/exit multiples and leverage to surface key value drivers

Example use cases

  • Build an LBO for a $100M EBITDA target at 6x–10x entry to show IRR across 3–7 year holds
  • Model a bolt-on acquisition with purchase price allocation, financing split, and synergy ramp
  • Test covenant breach scenarios by varying EBITDA and interest coverage assumptions
  • Compare financing structures: more senior debt vs higher mezzanine to assess sponsor return trade-offs

FAQ

What inputs are required to run a model?

Historical and projected P&L/EBITDA, transaction purchase price, debt tranche terms (rates, amortization, fees), and entry/exit multiple assumptions.

How do I handle circular references from cash sweeps?

Enable iterative calculation in Excel or isolate the sweep in a separate iterative block to prevent full-model circularity; document the approach clearly.

What outputs does the model produce?

Sources & uses, staged debt schedules, cash flow available for debt paydown, sponsor IRR and MOIC, and sensitivity tables by exit multiple and hold period.