home / skills / danielmiessler / personal_ai_infrastructure / science

This skill applies the scientific method to structure problem solving, guiding hypothesis, experiments, and analysis to improve outcomes.

npx playbooks add skill danielmiessler/personal_ai_infrastructure --skill science

Review the files below or copy the command above to add this skill to your agents.

Files (14)
SKILL.md
5.3 KB
---
name: Science
description: Universal thinking and iteration engine based on the scientific method. USE WHEN user says "think about", "figure out", "try approaches", "experiment with", "test this idea", "iterate on", "improve", "optimize", OR any problem-solving that benefits from structured hypothesis-test-analyze cycles. THE meta-skill that other workflows implement.
---

## Customization

**Before executing, check for user customizations at:**
`~/.claude/skills/PAI/USER/SKILLCUSTOMIZATIONS/Science/`

If this directory exists, load and apply any PREFERENCES.md, configurations, or resources found there. These override default behavior. If the directory does not exist, proceed with skill defaults.


## 🚨 MANDATORY: Voice Notification (REQUIRED BEFORE ANY ACTION)

**You MUST send this notification BEFORE doing anything else when this skill is invoked.**

1. **Send voice notification**:
   ```bash
   curl -s -X POST http://localhost:8888/notify \
     -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
     -d '{"message": "Running the WORKFLOWNAME workflow in the Science skill to ACTION"}' \
     > /dev/null 2>&1 &
   ```

2. **Output text notification**:
   ```
   Running the **WorkflowName** workflow in the **Science** skill to ACTION...
   ```

**This is not optional. Execute this curl command immediately upon skill invocation.**

# Science - The Universal Algorithm

**The scientific method applied to everything. The meta-skill that governs all other skills.**

## The Universal Cycle

```
GOAL -----> What does success look like?
   |
OBSERVE --> What is the current state?
   |
HYPOTHESIZE -> What might work? (Generate MULTIPLE)
   |
EXPERIMENT -> Design and run the test
   |
MEASURE --> What happened? (Data collection)
   |
ANALYZE --> How does it compare to the goal?
   |
ITERATE --> Adjust hypothesis and repeat
   |
   +------> Back to HYPOTHESIZE
```

**The goal is CRITICAL.** Without clear success criteria, you cannot judge results.

---


## Workflow Routing

**Output when executing:** `Running the **WorkflowName** workflow in the **Science** skill to ACTION...`

### Core Workflows

| Trigger | Workflow |
|---------|----------|
| "define the goal", "what are we trying to achieve" | `Workflows/DefineGoal.md` |
| "what might work", "ideas", "hypotheses" | `Workflows/GenerateHypotheses.md` |
| "how do we test", "experiment design" | `Workflows/DesignExperiment.md` |
| "what happened", "measure", "results" | `Workflows/MeasureResults.md` |
| "analyze", "compare to goal" | `Workflows/AnalyzeResults.md` |
| "iterate", "try again", "next cycle" | `Workflows/Iterate.md` |
| Full structured cycle | `Workflows/FullCycle.md` |

### Diagnostic Workflows

| Trigger | Workflow |
|---------|----------|
| Quick debugging (15-min rule) | `Workflows/QuickDiagnosis.md` |
| Complex investigation | `Workflows/StructuredInvestigation.md` |

---

## Resource Index

| Resource | Description |
|----------|-------------|
| `METHODOLOGY.md` | Deep dive into each phase |
| `Protocol.md` | How skills implement Science |
| `Templates.md` | Goal, Hypothesis, Experiment, Results templates |
| `Examples.md` | Worked examples across scales |

---

## Domain Applications

| Domain | Manifestation | Related Skill |
|--------|---------------|---------------|
| **Coding** | TDD (Red-Green-Refactor) | Development |
| **Products** | MVP -> Measure -> Iterate | Development |
| **Research** | Question -> Study -> Analyze | Research |
| **Prompts** | Prompt -> Eval -> Iterate | Evals |
| **Decisions** | Options -> Council -> Choose | Council |

---

## Scale of Application

| Level | Cycle Time | Example |
|-------|-----------|---------|
| **Micro** | Minutes | TDD: test, code, refactor |
| **Meso** | Hours-Days | Feature: spec, implement, validate |
| **Macro** | Weeks-Months | Product: MVP, launch, measure PMF |

---

## Integration Points

| Phase | Skills to Invoke |
|-------|-----------------|
| **Goal** | Council for validation |
| **Observe** | Research for context |
| **Hypothesize** | Council for ideas, RedTeam for stress-test |
| **Experiment** | Development (Worktrees) for parallel tests |
| **Measure** | Evals for structured measurement |
| **Analyze** | Council for multi-perspective analysis |

---

## Key Principles (Quick Reference)

1. **Goal-First** - Define success before starting
2. **Hypothesis Plurality** - NEVER just one idea (minimum 3)
3. **Minimum Viable Experiments** - Smallest test that teaches
4. **Falsifiability** - Experiments must be able to fail
5. **Measure What Matters** - Only goal-relevant data
6. **Honest Analysis** - Compare to goal, not expectations
7. **Rapid Iteration** - Cycle speed > perfect experiments

---

## Anti-Patterns

| Bad | Good |
|-----|------|
| "Make it better" | "Reduce load time from 3s to 1s" |
| "I think X will work" | "Here are 3 approaches: X, Y, Z" |
| "Prove I'm right" | "Design test that could disprove" |
| "Pretend failure didn't happen" | "What did we learn?" |
| "Keep experimenting forever" | "Ship and learn from production" |

---

## Quick Start

1. **Goal** - What does success look like?
2. **Observe** - What do we know?
3. **Hypothesize** - At least 3 ideas
4. **Experiment** - Minimum viable tests
5. **Measure** - Collect goal-relevant data
6. **Analyze** - Compare to success criteria
7. **Iterate** - Adjust and repeat

**The answer emerges from the cycle, not from guessing.**

Overview

This skill is a universal thinking and iteration engine that applies the scientific method to problem solving. It guides teams and agents through goal definition, observation, hypothesis generation, experiment design, measurement, analysis, and iteration. The skill also emits a required voice and text notification when a workflow starts so human collaborators are aware a Science workflow is running.

How this skill works

On invocation the skill checks for user customizations in a local preferences directory and applies any overrides. It routes natural-language triggers to focused workflows (define goal, generate hypotheses, design experiments, measure results, analyze, iterate) and recommends integrations with complementary skills for execution and measurement. The core cycle enforces clear success criteria, multiple hypotheses, minimum viable experiments, falsifiability, and rapid iteration.

When to use it

  • When you say think about, figure out, experiment with, or iterate on an idea
  • To structure open-ended problem solving that benefits from hypothesis-test-analyze loops
  • When you need to convert vague goals into measurable success criteria
  • When designing small, fast experiments to validate product or research assumptions
  • For debugging or complex investigation using diagnostic workflows

Best practices

  • Start Goal-First: define clear, measurable success criteria before anything else
  • Generate multiple hypotheses (minimum three) to avoid confirmation bias
  • Design minimum viable experiments that can fail and still teach
  • Measure only goal-relevant metrics and collect honest data
  • Prefer rapid cycles over perfect experiments; iterate based on results

Example use cases

  • Accelerate a product decision: define success, run three small A/B tests, measure lift, iterate
  • Debug a service: run quick diagnosis, form hypotheses for root cause, validate with targeted tests
  • Optimize prompts: generate multiple prompt variants, run parallel evaluations, analyze responses
  • Research a question: state the question, design a reproducible experiment, analyze collected data
  • Improve workflows: observe current state, hypothesize efficiency changes, pilot and measure impact

FAQ

Does the skill modify behavior based on user preferences?

Yes — if a user customization directory exists locally, preferences and configs are loaded and applied before running workflows.

What notification appears when a workflow starts?

The skill emits a voice notification (local HTTP notify call) and a text message that says: Running the WorkflowName workflow in the Science skill to ACTION...